Swansea
Middlesbrough
Swansea vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Why we picked this for Swansea vs Middlesbrough
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Swansea against Middlesbrough (Championship), rated at 67% confidence. Matches involving Swansea produced 1.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Middlesbrough it is 2.6 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 67% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-0, so Under 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Swansea vs Middlesbrough, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2024 | Middlesbrough | Swansea | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Middlesbrough | Swansea | 2-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Swansea | Middlesbrough | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Swansea | Middlesbrough | 1-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Middlesbrough | Swansea | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |