Home/UEFA Tips/Barcelona vs Benfica
Champions LeagueTuesday, 11 March 2025 · Full-time3-1✓
BAR

Barcelona

VS
BEN

Benfica

Barcelona vs Benfica Prediction

Over2.5 goals
96% confidence

Why we picked this for Barcelona vs Benfica

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Barcelona against Benfica (Champions League), rated at 96% confidence. Matches involving Barcelona produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Benfica it is 2.8 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

Past meetings don't decide it either way, with 2 of the last 4 ending over 2.5. At 96%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Barcelona last 5
2.8
avg goals, Benfica last 5
50%
last 4 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Barcelona
Benfica 0-1 Barcelona
Mar 05, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Barcelona 4-0 Real Sociedad
Mar 02, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Barcelona 4-4 Atletico Madrid
Feb 25, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Las Palmas 0-2 Barcelona
Feb 22, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Barcelona 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Feb 17, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Benfica
Benfica 3-0 Nacional
Mar 08, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Benfica 0-1 Barcelona
Mar 05, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Benfica 3-0 Boavista
Feb 22, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Benfica 3-3 AS Monaco
Feb 18, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Santa Clara 0-1 Benfica
Feb 15, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 4 meetings

Barcelona vs Benfica, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 05, 2025BenficaBarcelona0-1
Under 2.5✕
Jan 21, 2025BenficaBarcelona4-5
Over 2.5✓
Nov 23, 2021BarcelonaBenfica0-0
Under 2.5✕
Sep 29, 2021BenficaBarcelona3-0
Over 2.5✓