Home/UEFA Tips/Arsenal vs PSV
Champions LeagueWednesday, 12 March 2025 · Full-time2-2✓
ARS

Arsenal

VS
PSV

PSV

Arsenal vs PSV Prediction

Over2.5 goals
58% confidence

Why we picked this for Arsenal vs PSV

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Arsenal against PSV (Champions League), rated at 58% confidence. Matches involving Arsenal produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For PSV it is 4.4 goals per game, with 5 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 58% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-2, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Arsenal last 5
4.4
avg goals, PSV last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Arsenal
Manchester United 1-1 Arsenal
Mar 09, 2025
Under 2.5✕
PSV 1-7 Arsenal
Mar 04, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Nottm Forest 0-0 Arsenal
Feb 26, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Arsenal 0-1 West Ham United
Feb 22, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Leicester City 0-2 Arsenal
Feb 15, 2025
Under 2.5✕
PSV
PSV 2-1 Heerenveen
Mar 08, 2025
Over 2.5✓
PSV 1-7 Arsenal
Mar 04, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 PSV
Mar 01, 2025
Over 2.5✓
PSV 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Feb 26, 2025
Over 2.5✓
PSV 2-1 Juventus
Feb 19, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Arsenal vs PSV, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 04, 2025PSVArsenal1-7
Over 2.5✓
Dec 12, 2023PSVArsenal1-1
Under 2.5✕
Sep 20, 2023ArsenalPSV4-0
Over 2.5✓
Oct 27, 2022PSVArsenal2-0
Under 2.5✕
Oct 20, 2022ArsenalPSV1-0
Under 2.5✕