Home/Germany Tips/Mainz 05 vs Freiburg
BundesligaSaturday, 15 March 2025 · Full-time2-2✕
MAI

Mainz 05

VS
FRE

Freiburg

Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Prediction

Under2.5 goals
83% confidence

Why we picked this for Mainz 05 vs Freiburg

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Mainz 05 against Freiburg (Bundesliga), rated at 83% confidence. Matches involving Mainz 05 produced 2.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Freiburg it is 1.4 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 83%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Mainz 05 last 5
1.4
avg goals, Freiburg last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Mainz 05
Monchengladbach 1-3 Mainz 05
Mar 07, 2025
Over 2.5✕
RB Leipzig 1-2 Mainz 05
Mar 01, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Mainz 05 2-0 St.Pauli
Feb 22, 2025
Under 2.5✓
FC Heidenheim 0-2 Mainz 05
Feb 16, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Mainz 05 0-0 Augsburg
Feb 08, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Freiburg
Freiburg 0-0 RB Leipzig
Mar 08, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Augsburg 0-0 Freiburg
Mar 02, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Freiburg 5-0 Werder Bremen
Feb 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕
St.Pauli 0-1 Freiburg
Feb 15, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Freiburg 1-0 FC Heidenheim
Feb 08, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Mainz 05 vs Freiburg, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 03, 2024FreiburgMainz 050-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 21, 2024FreiburgMainz 051-1
Under 2.5✓
Dec 03, 2023Mainz 05Freiburg0-1
Under 2.5✓
Mar 19, 2023Mainz 05Freiburg1-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 01, 2022FreiburgMainz 052-1
Over 2.5✕