Home/Germany Tips/RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund
BundesligaSaturday, 15 March 2025 · Full-time2-0✓
RB

RB Leipzig

VS
BOR

Borussia Dortmund

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Under2.5 goals
56% confidence

Why we picked this for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund

Under 2.5 goals is our call for RB Leipzig against Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga), rated at 56% confidence. Matches involving RB Leipzig produced 1.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Borussia Dortmund it is 2.8 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 56% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-0, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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1.6
avg goals, RB Leipzig last 5
2.8
avg goals, Borussia Dortmund last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

RB Leipzig
Freiburg 0-0 RB Leipzig
Mar 08, 2025
Under 2.5✓
RB Leipzig 1-2 Mainz 05
Mar 01, 2025
Over 2.5✕
RB Leipzig 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg
Feb 26, 2025
Under 2.5✓
RB Leipzig 2-2 FC Heidenheim
Feb 23, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Augsburg 0-0 RB Leipzig
Feb 14, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Borussia Dortmund
Lille OSC 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
Mar 12, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Augsburg
Mar 08, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Lille OSC
Mar 04, 2025
Under 2.5✓
St.Pauli 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
Mar 01, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Borussia Dortmund 6-0 Union Berlin
Feb 22, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 02, 2024Borussia DortmundRB Leipzig2-1
Over 2.5✕
Apr 27, 2024RB LeipzigBorussia Dortmund4-1
Over 2.5✕
Dec 09, 2023Borussia DortmundRB Leipzig2-3
Over 2.5✕
Apr 05, 2023RB LeipzigBorussia Dortmund2-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 03, 2023Borussia DortmundRB Leipzig2-1
Over 2.5✕