Southampton
Aston Villa
Southampton vs Aston Villa Prediction
Why we picked this for Southampton vs Aston Villa
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Southampton against Aston Villa (Premier League), rated at 75% confidence. Matches involving Southampton produced 3.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Aston Villa it is 3.2 goals per game, with 5 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 1 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 75%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-3. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Southampton vs Aston Villa, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 07, 2024 | Aston Villa | Southampton | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Southampton | Aston Villa | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Sep 16, 2022 | Aston Villa | Southampton | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Mar 05, 2022 | Aston Villa | Southampton | 4-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 05, 2021 | Southampton | Aston Villa | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |