Home/Australia Tips/Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
A-LeagueSaturday, 12 April 2025 · Full-time2-3✕
WEL

Wellington Phoenix

VS
MEL

Melbourne Victory

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

Under2.5 goals
89% confidence

Why we picked this for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory

Our pick for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory in A-League is Under 2.5 goals, with 89% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Wellington Phoenix's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Melbourne Victory (4.6 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 5 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 89%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-3. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Wellington Phoenix last 5
4.6
avg goals, Melbourne Victory last 5
0%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets 1-2 Wellington Phoenix
Apr 06, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Wellington Phoenix 2-2 Western Sydney
Mar 29, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Sydney 1-1 Wellington Phoenix
Mar 16, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Western United 4-1 Wellington Phoenix
Mar 08, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Wellington Phoenix 0-1 Melbourne City FC
Feb 28, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory 5-3 Adelaide United
Mar 29, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Western Sydney 4-2 Melbourne Victory
Mar 15, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Melbourne Victory 3-0 Central Coast Mariners
Mar 08, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Brisbane Roar FC 1-1 Melbourne Victory
Mar 01, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Melbourne Victory 2-2 Melbourne City FC
Feb 22, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 14, 2025Melbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix1-0
Under 2.5✓
Nov 24, 2024Wellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory1-0
Under 2.5✓
May 18, 2024Wellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory1-1
Under 2.5✓
May 12, 2024Melbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix0-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 12, 2024Wellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory1-0
Under 2.5✓