Home/Germany Tips/Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim
BundesligaSaturday, 19 April 2025 · Full-time3-2✕
FRE

Freiburg

VS
TSG

TSG Hoffenheim

Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction

Under2.5 goals
57% confidence

Why we picked this for Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim

Our pick for Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim in Bundesliga is Under 2.5 goals, with 57% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Freiburg's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for TSG Hoffenheim (2.2 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 57%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 3-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Freiburg last 5
2.2
avg goals, TSG Hoffenheim last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Freiburg
Monchengladbach 1-2 Freiburg
Apr 12, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Freiburg 1-4 Borussia Dortmund
Apr 05, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Freiburg 1-2 Union Berlin
Mar 30, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Mainz 05 2-2 Freiburg
Mar 15, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Freiburg 0-0 RB Leipzig
Mar 08, 2025
Under 2.5✓
TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim 2-0 Mainz 05
Apr 12, 2025
Under 2.5✓
RB Leipzig 3-1 TSG Hoffenheim
Apr 05, 2025
Over 2.5✕
TSG Hoffenheim 1-1 Augsburg
Mar 29, 2025
Under 2.5✓
St.Pauli 1-0 TSG Hoffenheim
Mar 14, 2025
Under 2.5✓
TSG Hoffenheim 1-1 FC Heidenheim
Mar 09, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 08, 2024TSG HoffenheimFreiburg1-1
Under 2.5✓
Jan 20, 2024FreiburgTSG Hoffenheim3-2
Over 2.5✕
Aug 19, 2023TSG HoffenheimFreiburg1-2
Over 2.5✕
Mar 12, 2023FreiburgTSG Hoffenheim2-1
Over 2.5✕
Sep 18, 2022TSG HoffenheimFreiburg0-0
Under 2.5✓