Home/Spain Tips/Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao
Primera DivisionSunday, 20 April 2025 · Full-time1-0✓
REA

Real Madrid

VS
ATH

Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Under2.5 goals
72% confidence

Why we picked this for Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Our pick for Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao in Primera Division is Under 2.5 goals, with 72% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Real Madrid's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Athletic Bilbao (1.2 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 72%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Real Madrid last 5
1.2
avg goals, Athletic Bilbao last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1-2 Arsenal
Apr 16, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Real Madrid
Apr 13, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Arsenal 3-0 Real Madrid
Apr 08, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Real Madrid 1-2 Valencia
Apr 05, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Real Madrid 3-4 Real Sociedad
Apr 01, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Rangers
Apr 17, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Apr 13, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Rangers 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Apr 10, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Villarreal 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Apr 06, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Osasuna
Mar 30, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 04, 2024Athletic BilbaoReal Madrid2-1
Over 2.5✕
Mar 31, 2024Real MadridAthletic Bilbao2-0
Under 2.5✓
Aug 12, 2023Athletic BilbaoReal Madrid0-2
Under 2.5✓
Jun 04, 2023Real MadridAthletic Bilbao1-1
Under 2.5✓
Jan 22, 2023Athletic BilbaoReal Madrid0-2
Under 2.5✓