Deportivo Toluca
Cruz Azul
Deportivo Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction
Why we picked this for Deportivo Toluca vs Cruz Azul
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Deportivo Toluca against Cruz Azul (Liga MX), rated at 77% confidence. Matches involving Deportivo Toluca produced 3.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Cruz Azul it is 2.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 77%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-2. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Deportivo Toluca vs Cruz Azul, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2024 | Cruz Azul | Deportivo Toluca | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Deportivo Toluca | Cruz Azul | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Jul 09, 2023 | Cruz Azul | Deportivo Toluca | 0-2 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Deportivo Toluca | Cruz Azul | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Aug 15, 2022 | Cruz Azul | Deportivo Toluca | 2-3 | Over 2.5✕ |


