Home/Mexico Tips/Deportivo Toluca vs Cruz Azul
Liga MXSunday, 20 April 2025 · Full-time2-2✕
DEP

Deportivo Toluca

VS
CRU

Cruz Azul

Deportivo Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction

Under2.5 goals
77% confidence

Why we picked this for Deportivo Toluca vs Cruz Azul

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Deportivo Toluca against Cruz Azul (Liga MX), rated at 77% confidence. Matches involving Deportivo Toluca produced 3.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Cruz Azul it is 2.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 77%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Deportivo Toluca last 5
2.4
avg goals, Cruz Azul last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Deportivo Toluca
Atletico San Luis 0-1 Deportivo Toluca
Apr 17, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Atlas 2-3 Deportivo Toluca
Apr 13, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 2-1 Santos Laguna
Apr 07, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 3-2 Pachuca
Mar 30, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Puebla 0-3 Deportivo Toluca
Mar 15, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul 2-1 Leon
Apr 16, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Club America 0-0 Cruz Azul
Apr 13, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Cruz Azul 3-2 Pumas UNAM
Apr 06, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Guadalajara 0-1 Cruz Azul
Mar 30, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Cruz Azul 3-0 Atletico San Luis
Mar 16, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Deportivo Toluca vs Cruz Azul, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jul 21, 2024Cruz AzulDeportivo Toluca1-1
Under 2.5✓
Apr 28, 2024Deportivo TolucaCruz Azul0-1
Under 2.5✓
Jul 09, 2023Cruz AzulDeportivo Toluca0-2
Under 2.5✓
Feb 12, 2023Deportivo TolucaCruz Azul3-1
Over 2.5✕
Aug 15, 2022Cruz AzulDeportivo Toluca2-3
Over 2.5✕