Home/England Tips/Burnley vs Millwall
ChampionshipSaturday, 03 May 2025 · Full-time3-1✕
BUR

Burnley

VS
MIL

Millwall

Burnley vs Millwall Prediction

Under2.5 goals
85% confidence

Why we picked this for Burnley vs Millwall

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Burnley against Millwall (Championship), rated at 85% confidence. Matches involving Burnley produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Millwall it is 2.4 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 3 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 85%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Burnley last 5
2.4
avg goals, Millwall last 5
0%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Burnley
Queens Park Rangers 0-5 Burnley
Apr 26, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Burnley 2-1 Sheffield United
Apr 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Watford 1-2 Burnley
Apr 18, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Burnley 2-1 Norwich
Apr 11, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 0-0 Burnley
Apr 08, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Millwall
Millwall 1-0 Swansea
Apr 26, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Millwall 3-1 Norwich
Apr 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Blackburn Rovers 4-1 Millwall
Apr 18, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Millwall 1-0 Middlesbrough
Apr 12, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Sheffield United 0-1 Millwall
Apr 08, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 3 meetings

Burnley vs Millwall, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 03, 2024MillwallBurnley1-0
Under 2.5✓
Feb 21, 2023MillwallBurnley1-1
Under 2.5✓
Aug 30, 2022BurnleyMillwall2-0
Under 2.5✓