Home/Spain Tips/Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao
Primera DivisionSunday, 04 May 2025 · Full-time0-0✓
REA

Real Sociedad

VS
ATH

Athletic Bilbao

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Under2.5 goals
71% confidence

Why we picked this for Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Real Sociedad against Athletic Bilbao (Primera Division), rated at 71% confidence. Matches involving Real Sociedad produced 3.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Athletic Bilbao it is 2.2 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 71%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.6
avg goals, Real Sociedad last 5
2.2
avg goals, Athletic Bilbao last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Real Sociedad
Apr 23, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Villarreal 2-2 Real Sociedad
Apr 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Real Sociedad 0-2 Mallorca
Apr 12, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Las Palmas 1-3 Real Sociedad
Apr 06, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Real Madrid 3-4 Real Sociedad
Apr 01, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 0-3 Manchester United
May 01, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Las Palmas
Apr 23, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Real Madrid 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Apr 20, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Rangers
Apr 17, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Apr 13, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 24, 2024Athletic BilbaoReal Sociedad1-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 13, 2024Athletic BilbaoReal Sociedad2-1
Over 2.5✕
Sep 30, 2023Real SociedadAthletic Bilbao3-0
Over 2.5✕
Apr 15, 2023Athletic BilbaoReal Sociedad2-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 14, 2023Real SociedadAthletic Bilbao3-1
Over 2.5✕