Premier LeagueSunday, 04 May 2025 · Full-time1-1✓
BRI
Brighton
VS
NEW
Newcastle
Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction
Under2.5 goals
80% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Brighton vs Newcastle
Our pick for Brighton vs Newcastle in Premier League is Under 2.5 goals, with 80% confidence. Recent form: 5 of Brighton's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (4.2 goals per game in total), against 5 of 5 for Newcastle (4.2 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 0 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. A confidence of 80% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-1, so Under 2.5 landed.
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4.2
avg goals, Brighton last 5
4.2
avg goals, Newcastle last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
10 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Brighton
Brighton 3-2 West Ham United
Over 2.5✕Apr 26, 2025
Brentford 4-2 Brighton
Over 2.5✕Apr 19, 2025
Brighton 2-2 Leicester City
Over 2.5✕Apr 12, 2025
Crystal Palace 2-1 Brighton
Over 2.5✕Apr 05, 2025
Brighton 0-3 Aston Villa
Over 2.5✕Apr 02, 2025
Newcastle
Newcastle 3-0 Ipswich Town
Over 2.5✕Apr 26, 2025
Aston Villa 4-1 Newcastle
Over 2.5✕Apr 19, 2025
Newcastle 5-0 Crystal Palace
Over 2.5✕Apr 16, 2025
Newcastle 4-1 Manchester United
Over 2.5✕Apr 13, 2025
Leicester City 0-3 Newcastle
Over 2.5✕Apr 07, 2025
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Brighton vs Newcastle, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 02, 2025 | Newcastle | Brighton | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Newcastle | Brighton | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| May 11, 2024 | Newcastle | Brighton | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Brighton | Newcastle | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| May 18, 2023 | Newcastle | Brighton | 4-1 | Over 2.5✕ |