Home/France Tips/Montpellier vs Paris SG
Ligue 1Saturday, 10 May 2025 · Full-time1-4✓
MON

Montpellier

VS
PAR

Paris SG

Montpellier vs Paris SG Prediction

Over2.5 goals
83% confidence

Why we picked this for Montpellier vs Paris SG

For this Ligue 1 fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Montpellier vs Paris SG, at 83% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Montpellier's games produced 2.2 goals on average, 1 of them over 2.5. Paris SG's games averaged 2.6, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 5 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. At 83%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-4. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Montpellier last 5
2.6
avg goals, Paris SG last 5
100%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Montpellier
Stade Brestois 29 1-0 Montpellier
May 04, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Montpellier 0-0 Reims
Apr 27, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Marseille 5-1 Montpellier
Apr 19, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Angers SCO 2-0 Montpellier
Apr 13, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Montpellier 0-2 Le Havre
Apr 06, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Paris SG
Paris SG 2-1 Arsenal
May 07, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Strasbourg 2-1 Paris SG
May 03, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Arsenal 0-1 Paris SG
Apr 29, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Paris SG 1-3 Nice
Apr 25, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Nantes 1-1 Paris SG
Apr 22, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Montpellier vs Paris SG, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 23, 2024Paris SGMontpellier6-0
Over 2.5✓
Mar 17, 2024MontpellierParis SG2-6
Over 2.5✓
Nov 03, 2023Paris SGMontpellier3-0
Over 2.5✓
Feb 01, 2023MontpellierParis SG1-3
Over 2.5✓
Aug 13, 2022Paris SGMontpellier5-2
Over 2.5✓