Home/Spain Tips/Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad
Primera DivisionSaturday, 10 May 2025 · Full-time4-0✕
ATL

Atletico Madrid

VS
REA

Real Sociedad

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Under2.5 goals
74% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Atletico Madrid against Real Sociedad (Primera Division), rated at 74% confidence. Matches involving Atletico Madrid produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Real Sociedad it is 2.2 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 74%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 4-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
2.2
avg goals, Real Sociedad last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico Madrid
Deportivo Alaves 0-0 Atletico Madrid
May 03, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Apr 24, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Las Palmas 1-0 Atletico Madrid
Apr 19, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 4-2 Real Valladolid
Apr 14, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Apr 06, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
May 04, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Real Sociedad
Apr 23, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Villarreal 2-2 Real Sociedad
Apr 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Real Sociedad 0-2 Mallorca
Apr 12, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Las Palmas 1-3 Real Sociedad
Apr 06, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 06, 2024Real SociedadAtletico Madrid1-1
Under 2.5✓
May 25, 2024Real SociedadAtletico Madrid0-2
Under 2.5✓
Oct 08, 2023Atletico MadridReal Sociedad2-1
Over 2.5✕
May 28, 2023Atletico MadridReal Sociedad2-1
Over 2.5✕
Sep 03, 2022Real SociedadAtletico Madrid1-1
Under 2.5✓