Home/England Tips/Chelsea vs Manchester United
Premier LeagueFriday, 16 May 2025 · Full-time1-0✕
CHE

Chelsea

VS
MAN

Manchester United

Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction

Over2.5 goals
87% confidence

Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Manchester United

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Chelsea against Manchester United (Premier League), rated at 87% confidence. Matches involving Chelsea produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Manchester United it is 3.8 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 87%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
3.8
avg goals, Manchester United last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Chelsea
Newcastle 2-0 Chelsea
May 11, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Chelsea 1-0 Djurgardens
May 08, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Chelsea 3-1 Liverpool
May 04, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Djurgardens 1-4 Chelsea
May 01, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Chelsea 1-0 Everton
Apr 26, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Manchester United
Manchester United 0-2 West Ham United
May 11, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Manchester United 4-1 Athletic Bilbao
May 08, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Brentford 4-3 Manchester United
May 04, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao 0-3 Manchester United
May 01, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester United
Apr 27, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Chelsea vs Manchester United, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 03, 2024Manchester UnitedChelsea1-1
Under 2.5✕
Apr 04, 2024ChelseaManchester United4-3
Over 2.5✓
Dec 06, 2023Manchester UnitedChelsea2-1
Over 2.5✓
May 25, 2023Manchester UnitedChelsea4-1
Over 2.5✓
Oct 22, 2022ChelseaManchester United1-1
Under 2.5✕