Home/UEFA Tips/Germany vs Portugal
Nations LeagueWednesday, 04 June 2025 · Full-time1-2✓
GER

Germany

VS
POR

Portugal

Germany vs Portugal Prediction

Over2.5 goals
61% confidence

Why we picked this for Germany vs Portugal

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Germany against Portugal (Nations League), rated at 61% confidence. Matches involving Germany produced 3.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Portugal it is 2.8 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

The head-to-head is split: 1 of their last 2 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. The 61% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-2, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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3.8
avg goals, Germany last 5
2.8
avg goals, Portugal last 5
50%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Germany
Germany 3-3 Italy
Mar 23, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Italy 1-2 Germany
Mar 20, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Hungary 1-1 Germany
Nov 19, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Germany 7-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
Nov 16, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Germany 1-0 Netherlands
Oct 14, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Portugal
Portugal 3-2 Denmark
Mar 23, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Denmark 1-0 Portugal
Mar 20, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Croatia 1-1 Portugal
Nov 18, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Portugal 5-1 Poland
Nov 15, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Scotland 0-0 Portugal
Oct 15, 2024
Under 2.5✕

Last 2 meetings

Germany vs Portugal, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jun 19, 2021PortugalGermany2-4
Over 2.5✓
Jun 09, 2012GermanyPortugal1-0
Under 2.5✕