Home/UEFA Tips/Portugal vs Spain
Nations LeagueSunday, 08 June 2025 · Full-time2-2✓
POR

Portugal

VS
SPA

Spain

Portugal vs Spain Prediction

Over2.5 goals
77% confidence

Why we picked this for Portugal vs Spain

For this Nations League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Portugal vs Spain, at 77% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Portugal's games produced 3.4 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Spain's games averaged 5.0, with 5 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 3 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 77%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Portugal last 5
5.0
avg goals, Spain last 5
0%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Portugal
Germany 1-2 Portugal
Jun 04, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Portugal 3-2 Denmark
Mar 23, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Denmark 1-0 Portugal
Mar 20, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Croatia 1-1 Portugal
Nov 18, 2024
Under 2.5✕
Portugal 5-1 Poland
Nov 15, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Spain
Spain 5-4 France
Jun 05, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Spain 2-2 Netherlands
Mar 23, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Netherlands 2-2 Spain
Mar 20, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Spain 3-2 Switzerland
Nov 18, 2024
Over 2.5✓
Denmark 1-2 Spain
Nov 15, 2024
Over 2.5✓

Last 3 meetings

Portugal vs Spain, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 27, 2022PortugalSpain0-1
Under 2.5✕
Jun 02, 2022SpainPortugal1-1
Under 2.5✕
Jun 27, 2012PortugalSpain0-0
Under 2.5✕