Home/USA Tips/New York City vs Toronto FC
Major League SoccerFriday, 04 July 2025 · Full-time3-1✓
NEW

New York City

VS
TOR

Toronto FC

New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction

Over2.5 goals
89% confidence

Why we picked this for New York City vs Toronto FC

Over 2.5 goals is our call for New York City against Toronto FC (Major League Soccer), rated at 89% confidence. Matches involving New York City produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Toronto FC it is 2.6 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. A confidence of 89% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 3-1, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, New York City last 5
2.6
avg goals, Toronto FC last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

New York City
Montreal Impact 1-0 New York City
Jun 29, 2025
Under 2.5✕
New York City 4-0 Atlanta United
Jun 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Nashville 2-2 New York City
May 31, 2025
Over 2.5✓
New York City 0-3 Houston Dinamo
May 29, 2025
Over 2.5✓
New York City 3-1 Chicago Fire
May 25, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Toronto FC
Toronto FC 3-0 Portland Timbers
Jun 29, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Toronto FC 1-1 New York Red Bulls
Jun 26, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Toronto FC 0-2 Charlotte FC
Jun 01, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Toronto FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union
May 29, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Toronto FC 1-2 Nashville
May 25, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

New York City vs Toronto FC, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 26, 2025Toronto FCNew York City0-1
Under 2.5✕
May 12, 2024Toronto FCNew York City2-3
Over 2.5✓
Mar 17, 2024New York CityToronto FC2-1
Over 2.5✓
Sep 24, 2023New York CityToronto FC3-0
Over 2.5✓
Jul 27, 2023New York CityToronto FC5-0
Over 2.5✓