Home/Brazil Tips/Bahia vs Atletico MG
Serie ASunday, 13 July 2025 · Full-time2-1✓
BAH

Bahia

VS
ATL

Atletico MG

Bahia vs Atletico MG Prediction

Over2.5 goals
74% confidence

Why we picked this for Bahia vs Atletico MG

Our pick for Bahia vs Atletico MG in Serie A is Over 2.5 goals, with 74% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Bahia's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 0 of 5 for Atletico MG (1.0 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 74%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Bahia last 5
1.0
avg goals, Atletico MG last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Bahia
Bragantino 0-3 Bahia
Jun 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Bahia 2-1 Sao Paulo SP
May 31, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Internacional RS 2-1 Bahia
May 29, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Gremio 1-0 Bahia
May 25, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Bahia 2-1 Vitoria BA
May 18, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Atletico MG
Atletico MG 2-0 Internacional RS
Jun 13, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Ceará 0-1 Atletico MG
Jun 01, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 1-1 Cienciano
May 30, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 0-0 Corinthians
May 25, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Cruzeiro MG 0-0 Atletico MG
May 19, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Bahia vs Atletico MG, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 15, 2024BahiaAtletico MG3-0
Over 2.5✓
Jun 02, 2024Atletico MGBahia1-1
Under 2.5✕
Dec 07, 2023BahiaAtletico MG4-1
Over 2.5✓
Aug 13, 2023Atletico MGBahia1-0
Under 2.5✕
Dec 02, 2021BahiaAtletico MG2-3
Over 2.5✓