Home/International Tips/Brighton vs Stoke City
FriendliesWednesday, 16 July 2025 · Full-time3-1✕
BRI

Brighton

VS
STO

Stoke City

Brighton vs Stoke City Prediction

Under2.5 goals
96% confidence

Why we picked this for Brighton vs Stoke City

For this Friendlies fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Brighton vs Stoke City, at 96% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Brighton's games produced 3.8 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Stoke City's games averaged 2.2, with 1 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.

Past meetings don't decide it either way, with 2 of the last 4 ending under 2.5. At 96%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.8
avg goals, Brighton last 5
2.2
avg goals, Stoke City last 5
50%
last 4 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Brighton
Tottenham Hotspur 1-4 Brighton
May 25, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Brighton 3-2 Liverpool
May 19, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-2 Brighton
May 10, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Brighton 1-1 Newcastle
May 04, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Brighton 3-2 West Ham United
Apr 26, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Stoke City
Derby County 0-0 Stoke City
May 03, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Stoke City 0-2 Sheffield United
Apr 25, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Leeds United 6-0 Stoke City
Apr 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Stoke City 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday
Apr 18, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Cardiff City 0-1 Stoke City
Apr 12, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 4 meetings

Brighton vs Stoke City, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 06, 2024Stoke CityBrighton2-4
Over 2.5✕
Feb 28, 2023Stoke CityBrighton0-1
Under 2.5✓
Feb 10, 2018Stoke CityBrighton1-1
Under 2.5✓
Nov 20, 2017BrightonStoke City2-2
Over 2.5✕