Serie ASunday, 27 July 2025 · Full-time1-0✕
PAL
Palmeiras
VS
GRE
Gremio
Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction
Over2.5 goals
78% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Palmeiras vs Gremio
Our pick for Palmeiras vs Gremio in Serie A is Over 2.5 goals, with 78% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Palmeiras's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Gremio (2.6 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. A confidence of 78% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 1-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.
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2.6
avg goals, Palmeiras last 5
2.6
avg goals, Gremio last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Palmeiras
Fluminense RJ 1-2 Palmeiras
Over 2.5✓Jul 24, 2025
Palmeiras 3-2 Atletico MG
Over 2.5✓Jul 20, 2025
Palmeiras 1-1 Mirassol
Under 2.5✕Jul 17, 2025
Palmeiras 1-2 Chelsea
Over 2.5✓Jul 05, 2025
Palmeiras 0-0 Botafogo RJ
Under 2.5✕Jun 28, 2025
Gremio
Gremio 1-1 A. Lima
Under 2.5✕Jul 24, 2025
Vasco da Gama 1-1 Gremio
Under 2.5✕Jul 19, 2025
A. Lima 2-0 Gremio
Under 2.5✕Jul 17, 2025
Cruzeiro MG 4-1 Gremio
Over 2.5✓Jul 14, 2025
Gremio 1-1 Corinthians
Under 2.5✕Jun 13, 2025
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Palmeiras vs Gremio, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 09, 2024 | Palmeiras | Gremio | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Jul 05, 2024 | Gremio | Palmeiras | 2-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Gremio | Palmeiras | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| May 11, 2023 | Palmeiras | Gremio | 4-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Gremio | Palmeiras | 1-3 | Over 2.5✓ |