Home/Uruguay Tips/CA Penarol vs Progresso
Primera DivisionFriday, 01 August 2025 · Full-time2-1✓
CA

CA Penarol

VS
PRO

Progresso

CA Penarol vs Progresso Prediction

Over2.5 goals
61% confidence

Why we picked this for CA Penarol vs Progresso

For this Primera Division fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for CA Penarol vs Progresso, at 61% confidence. In their last 5 matches, CA Penarol's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Progresso's games averaged 2.4, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. At 61%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, CA Penarol last 5
2.4
avg goals, Progresso last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

CA Penarol
CA Penarol 0-0 Club Nacional Montevideo
Jul 06, 2025
Under 2.5✕
CA Penarol 2-0 CA Cerro
Jun 28, 2025
Under 2.5✕
CA Penarol 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers
Jun 22, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Liverpool Montevideo 3-2 CA Penarol
Jun 19, 2025
Over 2.5✓
River Plate Montevideo 1-3 CA Penarol
Jun 15, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Progresso
Juventud 2-0 Progresso
Jun 29, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Racing Club de Montevideo 3-0 Progresso
Jun 22, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Progresso 2-0 Boston River
Jun 19, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Montevideo City 3-1 Progresso
Jun 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Progresso 1-0 Miramar Missiones
Jun 08, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

CA Penarol vs Progresso, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 02, 2025ProgressoCA Penarol1-3
Over 2.5✓
Nov 27, 2024ProgressoCA Penarol1-5
Over 2.5✓
Jun 22, 2024ProgressoCA Penarol0-2
Under 2.5✕
May 24, 2024CA PenarolProgresso3-1
Over 2.5✓
Nov 25, 2021ProgressoCA Penarol0-0
Under 2.5✕