Home/England Tips/Middlesbrough vs Swansea
ChampionshipSaturday, 09 August 2025 · Full-time1-0✓
MID

Middlesbrough

VS
SWA

Swansea

Middlesbrough vs Swansea Prediction

Under2.5 goals
60% confidence

Why we picked this for Middlesbrough vs Swansea

For this Championship fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Middlesbrough vs Swansea, at 60% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Middlesbrough's games produced 1.8 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Swansea's games averaged 2.4, with 2 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. The 60% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-0, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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1.8
avg goals, Middlesbrough last 5
2.4
avg goals, Swansea last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Middlesbrough
Coventry City 2-0 Middlesbrough
May 03, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Middlesbrough 0-0 Norwich
Apr 26, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Middlesbrough
Apr 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Middlesbrough 2-1 Plymouth
Apr 18, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Millwall 1-0 Middlesbrough
Apr 12, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Swansea
Swansea 3-3 Oxford United
May 03, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Millwall 1-0 Swansea
Apr 26, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Swansea
Apr 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Swansea 1-0 Hull City
Apr 18, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Sunderland 0-1 Swansea
Apr 12, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Middlesbrough vs Swansea, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 08, 2025SwanseaMiddlesbrough1-0
Under 2.5✓
Aug 10, 2024MiddlesbroughSwansea1-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 06, 2024MiddlesbroughSwansea2-0
Under 2.5✓
Dec 16, 2023SwanseaMiddlesbrough1-2
Over 2.5✕
Mar 11, 2023SwanseaMiddlesbrough1-3
Over 2.5✕