Home/Uruguay Tips/Progresso vs Cerro Largo
Primera DivisionSaturday, 09 August 2025 · Full-time1-2✕
PRO

Progresso

VS
CER

Cerro Largo

Progresso vs Cerro Largo Prediction

Under2.5 goals
95% confidence

Why we picked this for Progresso vs Cerro Largo

Our pick for Progresso vs Cerro Largo in Primera Division is Under 2.5 goals, with 95% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Progresso's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.8 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Cerro Largo (2.0 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 95%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Progresso last 5
2.0
avg goals, Cerro Largo last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Progresso
CA Penarol 2-1 Progresso
Aug 02, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Juventud 2-0 Progresso
Jun 29, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Racing Club de Montevideo 3-0 Progresso
Jun 22, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Progresso 2-0 Boston River
Jun 19, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Montevideo City 3-1 Progresso
Jun 13, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Cerro Largo
Juventud 0-2 Cerro Largo
Aug 02, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Cerro Largo 0-3 Central Cordoba
Jul 23, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Central Cordoba 0-0 Cerro Largo
Jul 16, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Cerro Largo 2-2 River Plate Montevideo
Jul 01, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Cerro Largo 0-1 Plaza Colonia CD
Jun 24, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Progresso vs Cerro Largo, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 07, 2025Cerro LargoProgresso4-1
Over 2.5✕
Nov 30, 2024Cerro LargoProgresso2-1
Over 2.5✕
Jun 04, 2024ProgressoCerro Largo0-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 17, 2021Cerro LargoProgresso1-0
Under 2.5✓
Jun 19, 2021ProgressoCerro Largo0-0
Under 2.5✓