Home/Uruguay Tips/Club Nacional Montevideo vs Progresso
Primera DivisionSaturday, 16 August 2025 · Full-time3-1✕
CLU

Club Nacional Montevideo

VS
PRO

Progresso

Club Nacional Montevideo vs Progresso Prediction

Under2.5 goals
82% confidence

Why we picked this for Club Nacional Montevideo vs Progresso

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Club Nacional Montevideo against Progresso (Primera Division), rated at 82% confidence. Matches involving Club Nacional Montevideo produced 3.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Progresso it is 2.6 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 82%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Club Nacional Montevideo last 5
2.6
avg goals, Progresso last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Club Nacional Montevideo
CA Penarol 3-0 Club Nacional Montevideo
Aug 09, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Club Nacional Montevideo 5-2 Montevideo City
Aug 02, 2025
Over 2.5✕
CA Penarol 0-0 Club Nacional Montevideo
Jul 06, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Club Nacional Montevideo 3-2 Danubio
Jun 29, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Miramar Missiones 0-2 Club Nacional Montevideo
Jun 21, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Progresso
Progresso 1-2 Cerro Largo
Aug 09, 2025
Over 2.5✕
CA Penarol 2-1 Progresso
Aug 02, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Juventud 2-0 Progresso
Jun 29, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Racing Club de Montevideo 3-0 Progresso
Jun 22, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Progresso 2-0 Boston River
Jun 19, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Club Nacional Montevideo vs Progresso, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 24, 2025Club Nacional MontevideoProgresso1-0
Under 2.5✓
Feb 16, 2025ProgressoClub Nacional Montevideo1-5
Over 2.5✕
Sep 30, 2024ProgressoClub Nacional Montevideo0-3
Over 2.5✕
Mar 23, 2024Club Nacional MontevideoProgresso0-0
Under 2.5✓
Sep 19, 2021Club Nacional MontevideoProgresso0-1
Under 2.5✓