Home/Spain Tips/Lugo vs Real Valladolid
Segunda DivisionFriday, 22 December 2017 · Full-time1-2✕
LUG

Lugo

VS
REA

Real Valladolid

Lugo vs Real Valladolid Prediction

Under2.5 goals
55% confidence

Why we picked this for Lugo vs Real Valladolid

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Lugo against Real Valladolid (Segunda Division), rated at 55% confidence. Matches involving Lugo produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Real Valladolid it is 3.4 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 1 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 55% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Lugo last 5
3.4
avg goals, Real Valladolid last 5
100%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Lugo
Huesca 3-0 Lugo
Dec 17, 2017
Over 2.5✕
Lugo 3-1 Cultural Leonesa
Dec 10, 2017
Over 2.5✕
Sevilla II 1-1 Lugo
Dec 03, 2017
Under 2.5✓
Lugo 1-0 Osasuna
Nov 26, 2017
Under 2.5✓
La Hoya Lorca 1-2 Lugo
Nov 18, 2017
Over 2.5✕
Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid 3-2 Zaragoza
Dec 19, 2017
Over 2.5✕
Real Valladolid 3-0 La Hoya Lorca
Dec 16, 2017
Over 2.5✕
Albacete 2-1 Real Valladolid
Dec 09, 2017
Over 2.5✕
Real Valladolid 2-3 Numancia
Dec 03, 2017
Over 2.5✕
Leganes 1-0 Real Valladolid
Nov 28, 2017
Under 2.5✓

Last meeting

Lugo vs Real Valladolid, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 22, 2017Real ValladolidLugo2-2
Over 2.5✕