Home/Portugal Tips/Arouca vs Rio Ave
Primeira LigaSaturday, 23 August 2025 · Full-time3-3✕
ARO

Arouca

VS
RIO

Rio Ave

Arouca vs Rio Ave Prediction

Under2.5 goals
99% confidence

Why we picked this for Arouca vs Rio Ave

For this Primeira Liga fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Arouca vs Rio Ave, at 99% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Arouca's games produced 3.4 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Rio Ave's games averaged 3.0, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. At 99%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-3. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Arouca last 5
3.0
avg goals, Rio Ave last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Arouca
Sporting Lisbon 6-0 Arouca
Aug 17, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Arouca 3-1 AVS
Aug 09, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Arouca 4-1 Boavista
May 17, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Gil Vicente 1-1 Arouca
May 10, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Arouca 0-0 Casa Pia Atletico
May 04, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Rio Ave
Rio Ave 1-1 Nacional
Aug 17, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Rio Ave 1-1 Gil Vicente
May 16, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Nacional 3-3 Rio Ave
May 10, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Rio Ave 2-0 Estrela da Amadora
May 05, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Vitoria Guimaraes 3-0 Rio Ave
Apr 27, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Arouca vs Rio Ave, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 10, 2025AroucaRio Ave1-1
Under 2.5✓
Sep 01, 2024Rio AveArouca1-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 19, 2024Rio AveArouca1-1
Under 2.5✓
Dec 10, 2023AroucaRio Ave2-2
Over 2.5✕
Jul 30, 2023AroucaRio Ave2-0
Under 2.5✓