Home/Portugal Tips/Benfica vs Tondela
Primeira LigaSaturday, 23 August 2025 · Full-time3-0✓
BEN

Benfica

VS
TON

Tondela

Benfica vs Tondela Prediction

Over2.5 goals
71% confidence

Why we picked this for Benfica vs Tondela

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Benfica against Tondela (Primeira Liga), rated at 71% confidence. Matches involving Benfica produced 1.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 0 of those went over 2.5. For Tondela it is 2.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 71%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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1.4
avg goals, Benfica last 5
2.4
avg goals, Tondela last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Benfica
Fenerbahce 0-0 Benfica
Aug 20, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Estrela da Amadora 0-1 Benfica
Aug 16, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Benfica 2-0 Nice
Aug 12, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Nice 0-2 Benfica
Aug 06, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Benfica 1-1 Chelsea
Jun 28, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Tondela
Tondela 0-1 Famalicao
Aug 16, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Sporting de Braga 3-0 Tondela
Aug 10, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Uniao Leiria 0-2 Tondela
May 16, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Tondela 1-2 Alverca
May 11, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Tondela 2-1 Chaves
May 04, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Benfica vs Tondela, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 07, 2022TondelaBenfica1-3
Over 2.5✓
Aug 29, 2021BenficaTondela2-1
Over 2.5✓
Apr 30, 2021TondelaBenfica0-2
Under 2.5✕
Jan 08, 2021BenficaTondela2-0
Under 2.5✕
Jun 04, 2020BenficaTondela0-0
Under 2.5✕