Home/England Tips/Southampton vs Stoke City
ChampionshipSaturday, 23 August 2025 · Full-time1-2✕
SOU

Southampton

VS
STO

Stoke City

Southampton vs Stoke City Prediction

Under2.5 goals
61% confidence

Why we picked this for Southampton vs Stoke City

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Southampton against Stoke City (Championship), rated at 61% confidence. Matches involving Southampton produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Stoke City it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 4 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 61%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 1-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Southampton last 5
3.0
avg goals, Stoke City last 5
25%
last 4 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Southampton
Ipswich Town 1-1 Southampton
Aug 17, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Southampton 2-1 Wrexham
Aug 09, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Southampton 1-2 Arsenal
May 25, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Everton 2-0 Southampton
May 18, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Southampton 0-0 Manchester City
May 10, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday 0-3 Stoke City
Aug 16, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Stoke City 3-1 Derby County
Aug 09, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 0-0 Stoke City
May 03, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Stoke City 0-2 Sheffield United
Apr 25, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Leeds United 6-0 Stoke City
Apr 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 4 meetings

Southampton vs Stoke City, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 27, 2024SouthamptonStoke City0-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 03, 2023Stoke CitySouthampton0-1
Under 2.5✓
Mar 03, 2018SouthamptonStoke City0-0
Under 2.5✓
Sep 30, 2017Stoke CitySouthampton2-1
Over 2.5✕