Home/Mexico Tips/Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Toluca
Liga MXSunday, 24 August 2025 · Full-time1-0✕
CRU

Cruz Azul

VS
DEP

Deportivo Toluca

Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Toluca Prediction

Over2.5 goals
82% confidence

Why we picked this for Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Toluca

For this Liga MX fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Toluca, at 82% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Cruz Azul's games produced 3.8 goals on average, 4 of them over 2.5. Deportivo Toluca's games averaged 2.0, with 2 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 82% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 1-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.8
avg goals, Cruz Azul last 5
2.0
avg goals, Deportivo Toluca last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul 3-2 Santos Laguna
Aug 17, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Atletico San Luis 1-2 Cruz Azul
Aug 12, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Cruz Azul 1-2 Colorado Rapids
Aug 08, 2025
Over 2.5✓
LA Galaxy 0-1 Cruz Azul
Aug 04, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Cruz Azul 0-7 Seattle Sounders
Aug 01, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Deportivo Toluca
Deportivo Toluca 0-0 Orlando City
Aug 21, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 1-1 Pumas UNAM
Aug 17, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Juarez FC 0-2 Deportivo Toluca
Aug 12, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 2-1 New York City
Aug 06, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Deportivo Toluca 2-1 Montreal Impact
Aug 02, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Toluca, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 20, 2025Deportivo TolucaCruz Azul2-2
Over 2.5✓
Jul 21, 2024Cruz AzulDeportivo Toluca1-1
Under 2.5✕
Apr 28, 2024Deportivo TolucaCruz Azul0-1
Under 2.5✕
Jul 09, 2023Cruz AzulDeportivo Toluca0-2
Under 2.5✕
Feb 12, 2023Deportivo TolucaCruz Azul3-1
Over 2.5✓