Burnley
Derby County
Burnley vs Derby County Prediction
Why we picked this for Burnley vs Derby County
For this EFL Trophy fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Burnley vs Derby County, at 84% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Burnley's games produced 3.4 goals on average, 4 of them over 2.5. Derby County's games averaged 3.0, with 2 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
History between the two sides fits the pick too: 2 of 2 recent meetings went under 2.5. A confidence of 84% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 2-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 2 meetings
Burnley vs Derby County, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 08, 2025 | Derby County | Burnley | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Burnley | Derby County | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |