Home/France Tips/Toulouse vs Paris SG
Ligue 1Saturday, 30 August 2025 · Full-time3-6✓
TOU

Toulouse

VS
PAR

Paris SG

Toulouse vs Paris SG Prediction

Over2.5 goals
54% confidence

Why we picked this for Toulouse vs Paris SG

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Toulouse against Paris SG (Ligue 1), rated at 54% confidence. Matches involving Toulouse produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Paris SG it is 2.2 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. With 54% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 3-6. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

Advertisement

Recommended bookmakers

Partners offering strong markets for over/under betting. 18+, terms apply.

1xbet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
22bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
GG.bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
2.6
avg goals, Toulouse last 5
2.2
avg goals, Paris SG last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Toulouse
Toulouse 2-0 Stade Brestois 29
Aug 24, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Nice 0-1 Toulouse
Aug 16, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Saint Etienne 2-3 Toulouse
May 17, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Toulouse 1-1 Lens
May 10, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Toulouse 2-1 Stade Rennais
May 03, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Paris SG
Paris SG 1-0 Angers SCO
Aug 22, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Nantes 0-1 Paris SG
Aug 17, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Chelsea 3-0 Paris SG
Jul 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Paris SG 4-0 Real Madrid
Jul 09, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Paris SG 2-0 Bayern Munich
Jul 05, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Toulouse vs Paris SG, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 15, 2025ToulouseParis SG0-1
Under 2.5✕
Nov 22, 2024Paris SGToulouse3-0
Over 2.5✓
May 12, 2024Paris SGToulouse1-3
Over 2.5✓
Aug 19, 2023ToulouseParis SG1-1
Under 2.5✕
Feb 04, 2023Paris SGToulouse2-1
Over 2.5✓