Home/Portugal Tips/Sporting Lisbon vs Porto
Primeira LigaSaturday, 30 August 2025 · Full-time1-2✕
SPO

Sporting Lisbon

VS
POR

Porto

Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Prediction

Under2.5 goals
71% confidence

Why we picked this for Sporting Lisbon vs Porto

Our pick for Sporting Lisbon vs Porto in Primeira Liga is Under 2.5 goals, with 71% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Sporting Lisbon's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Porto (4.0 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 71%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Sporting Lisbon last 5
4.0
avg goals, Porto last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Sporting Lisbon
Nacional 1-4 Sporting Lisbon
Aug 23, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Sporting Lisbon 6-0 Arouca
Aug 17, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Casa Pia Atletico 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Aug 08, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes
May 17, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Benfica 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
May 10, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Porto
Porto 4-0 Casa Pia Atletico
Aug 24, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Gil Vicente 0-2 Porto
Aug 18, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Porto 3-0 Vitoria Guimaraes
Aug 11, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Porto 4-4 Al-Ahli
Jun 24, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Inter Miami 2-1 Porto
Jun 19, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Sporting Lisbon vs Porto, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 07, 2025PortoSporting Lisbon1-1
Under 2.5✓
Aug 31, 2024Sporting LisbonPorto2-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 28, 2024PortoSporting Lisbon2-2
Over 2.5✕
Dec 18, 2023Sporting LisbonPorto2-0
Under 2.5✓
Feb 12, 2023Sporting LisbonPorto1-2
Over 2.5✕