Home/England Tips/Manchester United vs Burnley
Premier LeagueSaturday, 30 August 2025 · Full-time3-2✕
MAN

Manchester United

VS
BUR

Burnley

Manchester United vs Burnley Prediction

Under2.5 goals
64% confidence

Why we picked this for Manchester United vs Burnley

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Manchester United against Burnley (Premier League), rated at 64% confidence. Matches involving Manchester United produced 1.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 0 of those went over 2.5. For Burnley it is 3.4 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. The 64% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 3-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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1.4
avg goals, Manchester United last 5
3.4
avg goals, Burnley last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Manchester United
Fulham 1-1 Manchester United
Aug 24, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Manchester United 0-1 Arsenal
Aug 17, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Manchester United 2-0 Aston Villa
May 25, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Manchester United
May 21, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea 1-0 Manchester United
May 16, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Burnley
Burnley 2-0 Sunderland
Aug 23, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Tottenham Hotspur 3-0 Burnley
Aug 16, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Burnley 3-1 Millwall
May 03, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Queens Park Rangers 0-5 Burnley
Apr 26, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Burnley 2-1 Sheffield United
Apr 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Manchester United vs Burnley, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 27, 2024Manchester UnitedBurnley1-1
Under 2.5✓
Sep 23, 2023BurnleyManchester United0-1
Under 2.5✓
Feb 08, 2022BurnleyManchester United1-1
Under 2.5✓
Dec 30, 2021Manchester UnitedBurnley3-1
Over 2.5✕
Apr 18, 2021Manchester UnitedBurnley3-1
Over 2.5✕