Home/Mexico Tips/Atletico San Luis vs Deportivo Toluca
Liga MXSaturday, 30 August 2025 · Full-time1-3✓
ATL

Atletico San Luis

VS
DEP

Deportivo Toluca

Atletico San Luis vs Deportivo Toluca Prediction

Over2.5 goals
79% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico San Luis vs Deportivo Toluca

For this Liga MX fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Atletico San Luis vs Deportivo Toluca, at 79% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Atletico San Luis's games produced 2.8 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Deportivo Toluca's games averaged 1.6, with 1 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. At 79%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-3. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Atletico San Luis last 5
1.6
avg goals, Deportivo Toluca last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico San Luis
Queretaro 3-2 Atletico San Luis
Aug 23, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Puebla 0-2 Atletico San Luis
Aug 16, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Atletico San Luis 1-2 Cruz Azul
Aug 12, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Minnesota United 0-2 Atletico San Luis
Aug 07, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Real Salt Lake 1-1 Atletico San Luis
Aug 03, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca
Cruz Azul 1-0 Deportivo Toluca
Aug 24, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 0-0 Orlando City
Aug 21, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 1-1 Pumas UNAM
Aug 17, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Juarez FC 0-2 Deportivo Toluca
Aug 12, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca 2-1 New York City
Aug 06, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Atletico San Luis vs Deportivo Toluca, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 17, 2025Atletico San LuisDeportivo Toluca0-1
Under 2.5✕
Aug 25, 2024Deportivo TolucaAtletico San Luis2-1
Over 2.5✓
Apr 20, 2024Atletico San LuisDeportivo Toluca1-5
Over 2.5✓
Oct 29, 2023Deportivo TolucaAtletico San Luis3-1
Over 2.5✓
Feb 26, 2023Deportivo TolucaAtletico San Luis2-0
Under 2.5✕