Home/International Tips/Kenya vs Gambia
World CupFriday, 05 September 2025 · Full-time1-3✕
KEN

Kenya

VS
GAM

Gambia

Kenya vs Gambia Prediction

Under2.5 goals
98% confidence

Why we picked this for Kenya vs Gambia

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Kenya against Gambia (World Cup), rated at 98% confidence. Matches involving Kenya produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Gambia it is 4.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 1 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 98% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-3, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Kenya last 5
4.0
avg goals, Gambia last 5
100%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Kenya
Kenya 1-2 Gabon
Mar 23, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Gambia 3-3 Kenya
Mar 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Kenya 0-0 Ivory Coast
Jun 11, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Kenya 1-1 Burundi
Jun 07, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Seychelles 0-5 Kenya
Nov 20, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Gambia
Ivory Coast 1-0 Gambia
Mar 24, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Gambia 3-3 Kenya
Mar 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Gabon 3-2 Gambia
Jun 11, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Gambia 5-1 Seychelles
Jun 08, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Gambia 0-2 Ivory Coast
Nov 20, 2023
Under 2.5✓

Last meeting

Kenya vs Gambia, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 20, 2025GambiaKenya3-3
Over 2.5✕