Home/International Tips/Uganda vs Mozambique
World CupFriday, 05 September 2025 · Full-time4-0✕
UGA

Uganda

VS
MOZ

Mozambique

Uganda vs Mozambique Prediction

Under2.5 goals
87% confidence

Why we picked this for Uganda vs Mozambique

Our pick for Uganda vs Mozambique in World Cup is Under 2.5 goals, with 87% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Uganda's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.0 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Mozambique (3.2 per game). Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 1 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 87% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 4-0, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Uganda last 5
3.2
avg goals, Mozambique last 5
100%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Uganda
Uganda 1-0 Guinea
Mar 25, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Mozambique 3-1 Uganda
Mar 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Uganda 1-2 Algeria
Jun 10, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Uganda 1-0 Botswana
Jun 07, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Somalia 0-1 Uganda
Nov 21, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Mozambique
Algeria 5-1 Mozambique
Mar 25, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Mozambique 3-1 Uganda
Mar 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Guinea 0-1 Mozambique
Jun 10, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Mozambique 2-1 Somalia
Jun 07, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Mozambique 0-2 Algeria
Nov 19, 2023
Under 2.5✓

Last meeting

Uganda vs Mozambique, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 20, 2025MozambiqueUganda3-1
Over 2.5✕