Home/International Tips/Ghana vs Mali
World CupMonday, 08 September 2025 · Full-time1-0✓
GHA

Ghana

VS
MAL

Mali

Ghana vs Mali Prediction

Under2.5 goals
96% confidence

Why we picked this for Ghana vs Mali

For this World Cup fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Ghana vs Mali, at 96% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Ghana's games produced 4.0 goals on average, 4 of them over 2.5. Mali's games averaged 1.8, with 3 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 96%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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4.0
avg goals, Ghana last 5
1.8
avg goals, Mali last 5
100%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Ghana
Chad 1-1 Ghana
Sep 04, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Madagascar 0-3 Ghana
Mar 24, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Ghana 5-0 Chad
Mar 21, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Ghana 4-3 Central Africa
Jun 10, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Mali 1-2 Ghana
Jun 06, 2024
Over 2.5✕
Mali
Mali 3-0 Comoros
Sep 04, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Central Africa 0-0 Mali
Mar 24, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Comoros 0-3 Mali
Mar 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Madagascar 0-0 Mali
Jun 11, 2024
Under 2.5✓
Mali 1-2 Ghana
Jun 06, 2024
Over 2.5✕

Last meeting

Ghana vs Mali, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jun 06, 2024MaliGhana1-2
Over 2.5✕