Ligue 1Friday, 12 September 2025 · Full-time4-0✓
MAR
Marseille
VS
LOR
Lorient
Marseille vs Lorient Prediction
Over2.5 goals
50% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Marseille vs Lorient
For this Ligue 1 fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Marseille vs Lorient, at 50% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Marseille's games produced 3.8 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Lorient's games averaged 4.4, with 4 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.
History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. With 50% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 4-0. The pick won.
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3.8
avg goals, Marseille last 5
4.4
avg goals, Lorient last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Marseille
Lyon 1-0 Marseille
Under 2.5✕Aug 31, 2025
Marseille 5-2 FC Paris
Over 2.5✓Aug 23, 2025
Stade Rennais 1-0 Marseille
Under 2.5✕Aug 15, 2025
Marseille 4-2 Stade Rennais
Over 2.5✓May 17, 2025
Le Havre 1-3 Marseille
Over 2.5✓May 10, 2025
Lorient
Lorient 1-7 Lille OSC
Over 2.5✓Aug 30, 2025
Lorient 4-0 Stade Rennais
Over 2.5✓Aug 24, 2025
Auxerre 1-0 Lorient
Under 2.5✕Aug 17, 2025
Lorient 5-1 FC Martigues
Over 2.5✓May 10, 2025
AC Ajaccio 2-1 Lorient
Over 2.5✓May 02, 2025
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Marseille vs Lorient, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Marseille | Lorient | 3-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Lorient | Marseille | 2-4 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Apr 09, 2023 | Lorient | Marseille | 0-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Marseille | Lorient | 3-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 08, 2022 | Lorient | Marseille | 0-3 | Over 2.5✓ |