Home/England Tips/Stoke City vs Birmingham
ChampionshipSaturday, 13 September 2025 · Full-time1-0✕
STO

Stoke City

VS
BIR

Birmingham

Stoke City vs Birmingham Prediction

Over2.5 goals
78% confidence

Why we picked this for Stoke City vs Birmingham

Our pick for Stoke City vs Birmingham in Championship is Over 2.5 goals, with 78% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Stoke City's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Birmingham (2.2 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 78%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Stoke City last 5
2.2
avg goals, Birmingham last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Stoke City
Stoke City 0-1 West Bromwich Albion
Aug 30, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Southampton 1-2 Stoke City
Aug 23, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Sheffield Wednesday 0-3 Stoke City
Aug 16, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Stoke City 3-1 Derby County
Aug 09, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Derby County 0-0 Stoke City
May 03, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Birmingham
Leicester City 2-0 Birmingham
Aug 29, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Birmingham 1-0 Oxford United
Aug 23, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Birmingham
Aug 16, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Birmingham 1-1 Ipswich Town
Aug 08, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Cambridge United 1-2 Birmingham
May 03, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Stoke City vs Birmingham, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 20, 2024Stoke CityBirmingham1-2
Over 2.5✓
Dec 26, 2023BirminghamStoke City1-3
Over 2.5✓
Apr 10, 2023BirminghamStoke City0-0
Under 2.5✕
Nov 05, 2022Stoke CityBirmingham1-2
Over 2.5✓
Feb 19, 2022Stoke CityBirmingham2-2
Over 2.5✓