Atalanta
Lecce
Atalanta vs Lecce Prediction
Why we picked this for Atalanta vs Lecce
For this Serie A fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Atalanta vs Lecce, at 92% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Atalanta's games produced 3.4 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Lecce's games averaged 1.2, with 0 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 92%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 4-1. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Atalanta vs Lecce, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Atalanta | Lecce | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Lecce | Atalanta | 0-4 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 18, 2024 | Lecce | Atalanta | 0-2 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Atalanta | Lecce | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Atalanta | Lecce | 1-2 | Over 2.5✓ |