Home/UEFA Tips/Real Madrid vs Marseille
Champions LeagueTuesday, 16 September 2025 · Full-time2-1✓
REA

Real Madrid

VS
MAR

Marseille

Real Madrid vs Marseille Prediction

Over2.5 goals
60% confidence

Why we picked this for Real Madrid vs Marseille

Our pick for Real Madrid vs Marseille in Champions League is Over 2.5 goals, with 60% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Real Madrid's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.8 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Marseille (3.8 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

The two sides haven't met recently, so head-to-head history plays no part in this call. At 60%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Real Madrid last 5
3.8
avg goals, Marseille last 5
—
no previous meetings
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Real Madrid
Real Sociedad 1-2 Real Madrid
Sep 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Real Madrid 2-1 Mallorca
Aug 30, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Real Oviedo 0-3 Real Madrid
Aug 24, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Real Madrid 1-0 Osasuna
Aug 19, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Paris SG 4-0 Real Madrid
Jul 09, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Marseille
Marseille 4-0 Lorient
Sep 12, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Lyon 1-0 Marseille
Aug 31, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Marseille 5-2 FC Paris
Aug 23, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Stade Rennais 1-0 Marseille
Aug 15, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Marseille 4-2 Stade Rennais
May 17, 2025
Over 2.5✓