Home/UEFA Tips/Paris SG vs Atalanta
Champions LeagueWednesday, 17 September 2025 · Full-time4-0✓
PAR

Paris SG

VS
ATA

Atalanta

Paris SG vs Atalanta Prediction

Over2.5 goals
88% confidence

Why we picked this for Paris SG vs Atalanta

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Paris SG against Atalanta (Champions League), rated at 88% confidence. Matches involving Paris SG produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Atalanta it is 3.8 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 1 of their last 1 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 88%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 4-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Paris SG last 5
3.8
avg goals, Atalanta last 5
100%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Paris SG
Paris SG 2-0 Lens
Sep 14, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Toulouse 3-6 Paris SG
Aug 30, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Paris SG 1-0 Angers SCO
Aug 22, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Nantes 0-1 Paris SG
Aug 17, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Chelsea 3-0 Paris SG
Jul 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Atalanta
Atalanta 4-1 Lecce
Sep 14, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Parma 1-1 Atalanta
Aug 30, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Atalanta 1-1 Pisa 1909
Aug 24, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Atalanta 2-3 Parma
May 25, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Genoa 2-3 Atalanta
May 17, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last meeting

Paris SG vs Atalanta, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 12, 2020AtalantaParis SG1-2
Over 2.5✓