Home/Wales Tips/Caernarfon vs Pen-y-Bont
Premier LeagueSaturday, 20 September 2025 · Full-time1-2✓
CAE

Caernarfon

VS
PEN

Pen-y-Bont

Caernarfon vs Pen-y-Bont Prediction

Over2.5 goals
78% confidence

Why we picked this for Caernarfon vs Pen-y-Bont

Our pick for Caernarfon vs Pen-y-Bont in Premier League is Over 2.5 goals, with 78% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Caernarfon's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (4.4 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Pen-y-Bont (2.6 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 78%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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4.4
avg goals, Caernarfon last 5
2.6
avg goals, Pen-y-Bont last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Caernarfon
Briton Ferry 2-5 Caernarfon
Sep 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Caernarfon 3-1 Barry Town
Sep 07, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Haverfordwest County 1-1 Caernarfon
Aug 30, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Caernarfon 2-0 Bala Town
Aug 25, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Flint Town Utd 2-5 Caernarfon
Aug 22, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Pen-y-Bont
Pen-y-Bont 5-0 Flint Town Utd
Sep 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Bala Town 0-0 Pen-y-Bont
Sep 06, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Gap Connah's Quay
Aug 30, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Pen-y-Bont 2-0 Llanelli Town
Aug 25, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Barry Town 2-3 Pen-y-Bont
Aug 22, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Caernarfon vs Pen-y-Bont, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 13, 2025Pen-y-BontCaernarfon3-1
Over 2.5✓
Feb 22, 2025CaernarfonPen-y-Bont3-2
Over 2.5✓
Nov 02, 2024CaernarfonPen-y-Bont1-5
Over 2.5✓
Sep 07, 2024Pen-y-BontCaernarfon2-0
Under 2.5✕
May 18, 2024CaernarfonPen-y-Bont3-1
Over 2.5✓