Home/England Tips/Arsenal vs Manchester City
Premier LeagueSunday, 21 September 2025 · Full-time1-1✕
ARS

Arsenal

VS
MAN

Manchester City

Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction

Over2.5 goals
59% confidence

Why we picked this for Arsenal vs Manchester City

For this Premier League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Arsenal vs Manchester City, at 59% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Arsenal's games produced 2.4 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Manchester City's games averaged 2.8, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. At 59%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 1-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Arsenal last 5
2.8
avg goals, Manchester City last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Arsenal
Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Arsenal
Sep 16, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Arsenal 3-0 Nottm Forest
Sep 13, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Liverpool 1-0 Arsenal
Aug 31, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Arsenal 5-0 Leeds United
Aug 23, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Manchester United 0-1 Arsenal
Aug 17, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Manchester City
Manchester City 2-0 Napoli
Sep 18, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Manchester City 3-0 Manchester United
Sep 14, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Brighton 2-1 Manchester City
Aug 31, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Manchester City 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Aug 23, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-4 Manchester City
Aug 16, 2025
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Arsenal vs Manchester City, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 02, 2025ArsenalManchester City5-1
Over 2.5✓
Sep 22, 2024Manchester CityArsenal2-2
Over 2.5✓
Mar 31, 2024Manchester CityArsenal0-0
Under 2.5✕
Oct 08, 2023ArsenalManchester City1-0
Under 2.5✕
Apr 26, 2023Manchester CityArsenal4-1
Over 2.5✓