Home/Mexico Tips/Guadalajara vs Deportivo Toluca
Liga MXSunday, 21 September 2025 · Full-time0-3✕
GUA

Guadalajara

VS
DEP

Deportivo Toluca

Guadalajara vs Deportivo Toluca Prediction

Under2.5 goals
74% confidence

Why we picked this for Guadalajara vs Deportivo Toluca

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Guadalajara against Deportivo Toluca (Liga MX), rated at 74% confidence. Matches involving Guadalajara produced 3.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Deportivo Toluca it is 2.2 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. A confidence of 74% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 0-3, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Guadalajara last 5
2.2
avg goals, Deportivo Toluca last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Guadalajara
Guadalajara 0-0 Tigres
Sep 18, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Club America 1-2 Guadalajara
Sep 14, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Guadalajara 1-2 Cruz Azul
Aug 31, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Club Tijuana 3-3 Guadalajara
Aug 23, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Guadalajara 1-2 Juarez FC
Aug 17, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Deportivo Toluca
Deportivo Toluca 3-1 Puebla
Sep 14, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Atletico San Luis 1-3 Deportivo Toluca
Aug 30, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Cruz Azul 1-0 Deportivo Toluca
Aug 24, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Deportivo Toluca 0-0 Orlando City
Aug 21, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Deportivo Toluca 1-1 Pumas UNAM
Aug 17, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Guadalajara vs Deportivo Toluca, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 16, 2025Deportivo TolucaGuadalajara2-1
Over 2.5✕
Jul 07, 2024GuadalajaraDeportivo Toluca0-0
Under 2.5✓
May 12, 2024Deportivo TolucaGuadalajara0-0
Under 2.5✓
May 09, 2024GuadalajaraDeportivo Toluca1-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 31, 2024GuadalajaraDeportivo Toluca3-2
Over 2.5✕