Progresso vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction

For this Primera Division fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Progresso vs Montevideo Wanderers, at 53% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Progresso's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Montevideo Wanderers's games averaged 2.0, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. With 53% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 2-0. The pick lost.

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