Home/Wales Tips/Cardiff Metropolitan vs Pen-y-Bont
Premier LeagueTuesday, 23 September 2025 · Full-time0-4✕
CAR

Cardiff Metropolitan

VS
PEN

Pen-y-Bont

Cardiff Metropolitan vs Pen-y-Bont Prediction

Under2.5 goals
99% confidence

Why we picked this for Cardiff Metropolitan vs Pen-y-Bont

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Cardiff Metropolitan against Pen-y-Bont (Premier League), rated at 99% confidence. Matches involving Cardiff Metropolitan produced 3.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Pen-y-Bont it is 2.2 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 99% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 0-4, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.8
avg goals, Cardiff Metropolitan last 5
2.2
avg goals, Pen-y-Bont last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Cardiff Metropolitan
Cardiff Metropolitan 1-3 The New Saints
Sep 19, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Gap Connah's Quay 1-1 Cardiff Metropolitan
Sep 13, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Cardiff Metropolitan 1-4 Colwyn Bay
Sep 06, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Flint Town Utd 4-2 Cardiff Metropolitan
Aug 30, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Cardiff Metropolitan 1-1 Barry Town
Aug 25, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Pen-y-Bont
Caernarfon 1-2 Pen-y-Bont
Sep 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Pen-y-Bont 5-0 Flint Town Utd
Sep 13, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Bala Town 0-0 Pen-y-Bont
Sep 06, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Gap Connah's Quay
Aug 30, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Pen-y-Bont 2-0 Llanelli Town
Aug 25, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Cardiff Metropolitan vs Pen-y-Bont, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 14, 2025Pen-y-BontCardiff Metropolitan0-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 24, 2025Cardiff MetropolitanPen-y-Bont2-1
Over 2.5✕
Dec 31, 2024Pen-y-BontCardiff Metropolitan2-2
Over 2.5✕
Oct 15, 2024Cardiff MetropolitanPen-y-Bont1-1
Under 2.5✓
Dec 26, 2023Cardiff MetropolitanPen-y-Bont0-3
Over 2.5✕