Home/Spain Tips/Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Primera DivisionWednesday, 24 September 2025 · Full-time3-2✓
ATL

Atletico Madrid

VS
RAY

Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Over2.5 goals
82% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Atletico Madrid against Rayo Vallecano (Primera Division), rated at 82% confidence. Matches involving Atletico Madrid produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Rayo Vallecano it is 2.2 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 82%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
2.2
avg goals, Rayo Vallecano last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
2 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico Madrid
Mallorca 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Sep 21, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Liverpool 3-2 Atletico Madrid
Sep 17, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 2-0 Villarreal
Sep 13, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Aug 30, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 1-1 Elche
Aug 23, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta Vigo
Sep 21, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Osasuna 2-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sep 14, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Barcelona
Aug 31, 2025
Under 2.5✕
Rayo Vallecano 4-0 Neman Grodno
Aug 28, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Aug 25, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 24, 2025Atletico MadridRayo Vallecano3-0
Over 2.5✓
Sep 22, 2024Rayo VallecanoAtletico Madrid1-1
Under 2.5✕
Jan 31, 2024Atletico MadridRayo Vallecano2-1
Over 2.5✓
Aug 28, 2023Rayo VallecanoAtletico Madrid0-7
Over 2.5✓
Apr 09, 2023Rayo VallecanoAtletico Madrid1-2
Over 2.5✓